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GCC Economic and Business Insights (29. June 2021): OPEC+ Data Show Oil Market Remaining in Deficit for Rest of Year, Fitch Affirms Taqa at 'AA-'; With a Stable Outlook
2021-06-29

GCC Economic and Business Insights (29. June 2021): OPEC+ Data Show Oil Market Remaining in Deficit for Rest of Year, Fitch Affirms Taqa at 'AA-'; With a Stable Outlook

  • OPEC+ data show oil market remaining in deficit for rest of year – OPEC+ expects that global oil markets will remain in deficit this year if it keeps output steady, according to data that technical experts will review on Tuesday ahead of the coalition’s main meeting. The alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia is discussing returning some halted supply in August as demand bounces back from the pandemic. Its Joint Technical Committee will assess market conditions before ministers from the full 23- nation group convene on July 1. Estimates due to be presented to the JTC show that demand is poised to exceed supply by 1.7mn bpd in August, according to figures seen by Bloomberg. The shortfall will average 1.9mn a day in the second half of the year. The committee will review and potentially ratify the forecasts. While it is a slightly softer outlook than the one adopted by the committee last month -- which showed a shortfall of 1.9mn barrels in August -- it nonetheless indicates that OPEC+ has scope to open the taps. (Bloomberg)
  • Saudi Arabia’s net foreign assets fall again from decade low – Saudi Arabia’s net foreign assets dropped 0.8% in May from the month before, sinking further after hitting the lowest level in more than a decade. The stockpile at the kingdom’s central bank fell by SR13.65bn, according to the bank’s monthly report. Saudi Arabia’s net foreign assets declined significantly in 2020 as lower oil income strained finances and officials simultaneously transferred $40bn to the Kingdom’s sovereign fund to fuel an opportunistic investment spree. The indicator -- which topped $700bn in 2014 after an oil boom pumped up savings -- now stands at SR1.62tn. However most economists say that’s more than enough to defend the Saudi Riyal’s peg to the dollar, and rising oil prices could boost the fortunes of the world’s largest crude exporter in the months ahead. M1 money supply rose 6.6% YoY, M2 money supply rose 4.9% YoY and M3 money supply rose 6.7% YoY. (Bloomberg)
  • Saudi Telecom’s internet-services unit gets approval to list – Saudi Telecom unit Solutions by STC gets Capital Market Authority approval to offer 24mn shares, representing 20% of share capital. Solutions by STC is also known as Arabian Internet and Communications Services Co. (Bloomberg)
  • Emaar Properties hires banks for 10-year dollar Islamic bonds – Emaar Properties has hired banks to arrange an issuance of US dollar-denominated 10-year Sukuk, or Islamic bonds, a document showed on Monday. Dubai Islamic Bank, Emirates NBD Capital, First Abu Dhabi Bank, Mashreqbank and Standard Chartered will arrange investor calls starting on Monday, the document from one of the banks showed. A senior unsecured Sukuk issuance will follow, subject to market conditions. Reuters reported early this month that Emaar hired banks to arrange a dollar Sukuk sale. (Zawya)
  • Majid Al Futtaim achieves 97% of sustainability targets for 2020 – Dubai-headquartered developer and mall operator Majid Al Futtaim has achieved 97 percent of the targets set out in its annual sustainability strategy last year despite the business and economic disruption brought about by the pandemic, according to latest Sustainability Report. Key achievements on the energy front, according to a press statement by the company, include reducing the group’s carbon footprint by 9.2%, generating nearly 17mn kWh of renewable energy last year, with 63% generated through its shopping malls alone, and decreasing water usage by 17.5% across its operations. In a global first, the company achieved LEED Platinum certification for its entire 13-property hotel portfolio. Majid Al Futtaim is aiming to become net positive in carbon and water across all operations, tenants, and developments by 2040. In its carbon reduction quest, the company has an ongoing partnership with the Dubai Carbon Centre of Excellence to operate carbon-neutral movie screening at its VOX Cinemas’ Drive-In. In the first three months of operation, the partnership offset 19.32 tons of CO2 equivalent for a total of 1,400 cars. (Zawya)

  • ADNOC to deepen crude oil term supply cut in September – Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) will reduce the volume of crude oil it supplies to Asian term buyers by 15% in September, according to six sources with direct knowledge of the matter. The cut was much deeper compared with a reduction of 5% in term volume allocation for crude oil cargoes loading in August, three of the sources said. ADNOC did not provide a reason for the deeper cuts, the sources said. The move came as a surprise for some market participants ahead of an upcoming OPEC+ meeting on July 1. It was not immediately clear why ADNOC was making a deeper supply cut for crude oil loading in September for its term contract customers. The OPEC and allies, known as OPEC+, is returning 2.1mn bpd to the market from May through July as part of a plan to gradually unwind last year's record oil output curbs. (Reuters)

  • Abu Dhabi May consumer prices rise 0.7% YoY – Abu Dhabi's consumer prices rose 0.7% YoY in May versus +0.2% in April, according to the Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi. (Bloomberg)

  • Fitch affirms TAQA at 'AA-'; with a Stable outlook – Fitch Ratings has affirmed Abu Dhabi National Energy Company's (TAQA) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) and senior unsecured rating at 'AA-'. The Outlook on the Long-Term IDR is Stable. The affirmation is supported by Fitch's view of the strength of links, under its Government-Related Entities (GRE) Rating Criteria, between TAQA and its majority indirect shareholder Abu Dhabi (AA/Stable). TAQA's Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) of 'bbb+' is more than four notches lower than the Abu Dhabi sovereign rating, which leads to a top-down minus one approach under the GRE Criteria. Supportive Parent Links: TAQA is rated one notch below its indirect majority shareholder the Government of Abu Dhabi. Under the GRE Criteria, we assess status, ownership and control; and socio-political and financial implications of a default, as 'Strong', while we view the support track record-and- expectations factor as 'Very Strong'. This assessment results in a score of 35, leading to a 'top-down minus one' rating approach. (Bloomberg)

  • Oman sells OMR96mn 182-day bills; bid-cover at 1.28x – Oman sold OMR96mn of 182-day bills due on December 29. Investors offered to buy 1.28 times the amount of securities sold. The bills were sold at a price of 99.604, have a yield of 0.797% and will settle on June 30. (Bloomberg)

  • Al Yah Satellite IPO books demand exceeds maximum deal size – Al Yah Satellite Communications Co. has gathered investor orders in excess of the maximum deal size of its IPO on the Abu Dhabi stock exchange, according to terms seen by Bloomberg. Maximum deal size is 40% of the company’s capital according to terms. (Bloomberg)
  • Investcorp buys Italian digital sales platform CloudCare – Bahrain-based global investment manager Investcorp has acquired CloudCare, a leading Italian tech-enabled digital sales and marketing solutions platform active in energy, telecommunications and insurance markets. Investcorp is yet to reveal the terms of the transaction. CloudCare which has achieved an average annual revenue growth in excess of 40%, operates as a channel partner and digital broker, connecting consumers and service providers through both its own proprietary online platform and clients’ web platforms, Investcorp said in a statement. CloudCare’s founder and CEO, Andrea Conte, will continue to lead the company. "CloudCare has built a unique technology infrastructure and expertise which has enabled the business to become a reliable and value-add digital partner for its corporate clients seeking to enhance their digital customer acquisition strategy," Managing Director in Investcorp’s European Private Equity group, Nicola Ferraris said. Founder and CEO of CloudCare, Andrea Conte said: "We are confident we can accelerate growth within and beyond our target core markets, reinforcing our market position in the energy and telco markets, and broadening the products and services we are able to offer also to the insurance and financial markets.” (Zawya)
  • Bahrain sells BHD70mn 91-day bills; bid-cover at 1.83x – Bahrain sold BHD70mn of 91-day bills due on September 29. Investors offered to buy 1.83 times the amount of securities sold. The bills were sold at a price of 99.619, have a yield of 1.51% and will settle on June 30. (Bloomberg)
Source: Sahmik