The UK has finally given Gatwick Airport the green light to expand. The decision, years in the making, is more than a local planning matter.
It represents a belated recognition that aviation remains central to the UK economy, and that the country cannot continue to delay capacity expansion at its key airports without consequences for competitiveness, connectivity, and jobs.
Aviation underpins much of the UK’s economic model. It connects Britain to global markets, supports inward investment, enables exports, and sustains the tourism sector. More than 1.6mn UK jobs are supported directly and indirectly by aviation and aerospace.
The wider economic footprint is even larger, with billions contributed annually to GDP. Yet for two decades, the UK has been reluctant to make major airport infrastructure decisions.
Heathrow’s third runway remains in limbo. Gatwick’s previous attempts to expand were shelved after the Airports Commission concluded in favour of Heathrow. Regional airports have grown, but not enough to relieve pressure on London. The result has been a system where demand consistently outpaces supply, and where Britain risks losing its edge to European rivals.
The Gatwick plan addresses this imbalance. The project is not a wholesale new runway, but the transformation of an existing one.
Gatwick already has a northern runway, used only when the main runway is unavailable. Planning restrictions have long prevented it from being used in parallel for regular operations.
The expansion scheme will alter the alignment of the northern runway, shifting it slightly so that it can be used simultaneously for departures while the main runway handles both arrivals and departures. In practice, this creates a functional two-runway system without the environmental and political challenges of building an entirely new strip of tarmac.
The numbers are significant. Gatwick handled 35mn passengers in 2023 and is on course to exceed 40mn in 2025. With the expanded runway, capacity could rise to 75mn passengers per year by the mid-2030s.
That would bring it closer to Heathrow in terms of throughput, and place it firmly among Europe’s busiest hubs. It would also generate an estimated 14,000 new jobs on-site and support tens of thousands more in the supply chain and local economy.
For a region of the UK already dependent on aviation — Gatwick is the largest single-site employer in the southeast outside London — the economic boost is clear.
The decision also comes at a time when the UK needs to strengthen its role in global connectivity.
Heathrow remains the country’s primary hub, handling the majority of long-haul traffic, especially to North America and Asia. But Heathrow is full. Slot scarcity is chronic, leading to some of the highest airport charges in the world and constraining airlines’ ability to launch new routes.
Gatwick, by contrast, has always positioned itself differently. It is a hybrid airport, with a strong base of European short-haul services, a large low-cost presence, and a growing long-haul portfolio.
Norse Atlantic, British Airways, Air Transat, and others use Gatwick for transatlantic flights. Routes to the Caribbean, Middle East, and Asia are gradually expanding. The runway plan will give Gatwick more scope to grow this long-haul traffic while continuing to serve its short-haul base. Crucially, it will relieve pressure from Heathrow, which cannot absorb all of the UK’s demand for international air travel.
Critics of airport expansion often argue that demand could simply be managed by better use of regional airports or by shifting journeys to rail. Both points hold some merit, but neither offers a full solution.
Regional airports play an important role, yet most lack the catchment or international profile to sustain long-haul connections. Rail can substitute for some domestic and near-Europe routes, but not for transatlantic or Asian travel. The reality is that London and the southeast will remain the centre of UK aviation, and capacity needs to reflect that.
The Gatwick project is also instructive in how expansion can be framed more pragmatically. Rather than a new runway, which would trigger years of political wrangling and judicial review, Gatwick is reconfiguring what it already has.
The northern runway exists. It is simply not allowed to be used in parallel. Adjusting its alignment and removing the restrictions achieves much of what a new-build would, but with lower cost, shorter timelines, and less controversy. The compromise is practical. It is also an acknowledgement that the UK cannot afford another lost decade in aviation planning.
Environmental considerations remain central. Aviation is under pressure to reduce emissions, and expansion inevitably attracts opposition.
Gatwick has pledged to align the project with the UK’s net zero trajectory, investing in more efficient aircraft infrastructure, ground operations, and public transport access.
The industry as a whole is pushing sustainable aviation fuels, carbon offsetting schemes, and long-term technology shifts. But the truth is that demand is growing, and airports must plan for it. Not expanding Gatwick would not make flights disappear. It would simply push demand elsewhere — to Amsterdam, Paris, or Frankfurt — along with the associated jobs and economic activity.
The political dimension should not be ignored either. Successive UK governments have struggled to make definitive decisions on aviation. Heathrow’s expansion has been debated for more than 20 years.
Every attempt has been met with legal challenges, local opposition, or shifting policy priorities. Gatwick’s approval represents a rare instance of follow-through. It signals that ministers are prepared to back aviation growth, even amid environmental debates. It also places the onus back on Heathrow. If Gatwick can move ahead with an existing runway adjustment, why can Heathrow not resolve its third runway impasse?
The implications stretch beyond London. Manchester, Birmingham, Edinburgh, and other regional airports will be watching closely. If Gatwick succeeds in expanding and attracting more long-haul services, it will reinforce London’s dominance at the expense of the regions.
That is politically sensitive. Yet from a global competitiveness perspective, it is inevitable. Global investors, airlines, and travellers want London. The challenge for government is to balance regional equity with national strength. Gatwick’s expansion helps secure the latter.
There is also a global context. Britain’s peers are not standing still. Paris Charles de Gaulle continues to expand. Amsterdam Schiphol, despite environmental caps, remains a major transfer hub. Frankfurt is adding capacity.
Istanbul, Dubai, and Doha are scaling aggressively. Against that backdrop, the UK cannot afford to become complacent. Its airports are gateways for trade, tourism, and talent. Under-investment would weaken Britain’s role as a global aviation leader.
The approval of Gatwick’s northern runway plan is therefore more than an infrastructure story. It is a test of whether Britain is serious about aviation as a driver of economic growth.
For too long, the debate has been framed as Heathrow versus Gatwick, or expansion versus the environment.
The reality is that the UK needs both Gatwick and Heathrow to expand, alongside investment in sustainable technology and regional connectivity. One airport alone cannot carry the burden.
The author is an aviation analyst. X handle: @AlexInAir.